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Jazz top Bucks to extend home win streak; Boozer exits early

Basketball Betting Lines

11/20/2008 - Salt Lake City, UT (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - C.J. Miles scored 25 points to lead Utah to a 105-94 comeback win over the Milwaukee Bucks, as the Jazz won their 14th straight home game going back to last season.

Carlos Boozer had 20 points and 11 rebounds, but left the game in the fourth quarter with a strained left quad tendon. Ronnie Price and Andrei Kirilenko each had 16 points for the Jazz, who beat Milwaukee for the eighth straight time. Kirilenko also had seven rebounds, five steals and four blocks.

Ronnie Brewer ended with 12 points for the Jazz, winners of back-to-back games overall since a three-game skid.

Richard Jefferson scored 25 points, and Andrew Bogut contributed 16 points and a season-high 20 rebounds for the Bucks, who lost their third straight contest.

Ramon Sessions sank a layup for a 76-70 Milwaukee lead in the final minute of the third, but the Jazz had the final two buckets of the quarter - on a Brewer jam and a Boozer layup.

The Jazz then used a 13-3 run during the fourth quarter to take control. Austin Croshere hit a three-pointer for an 83-82 Milwaukee edge with nearly eight minutes left, but then came the game-changing flurry, started by a pair of Boozer layups and finished by a Miles three-ball with 2:34 remaining for 95-86 difference.

Boozer was hurt during the final quarter while going up for a rebound. His knee buckled and Boozer was then lifted for Mehmet Okur. Boozer will have an MRI on Thursday.

Utah is already shorthanded with injuries to guards Deron Williams (ankle) and Brevin Knight (groin), and center Jarron Collins (elbow).

Utah led 26-16 after one quarter and pushed that margin to 45-30 midway through the second, but the Bucks finished the half on a 23-6 spurt to grab a two-point edge.

Milwaukee continued to pull away early in the third, surging to a double-digit advantage at 66-56 on a pair of Bogut free throws with nearly eight minutes left in the period.

Game Notes

Charlie Bell and Sessions each scored 15 points for Milwaukee...The Jazz forced 17 turnovers, leading to 22 points...Utah shot 51.4 percent from the field, compared to 44.4 percent for the Bucks.


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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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